Financial Independence · investing

October 2020 Portfolio update: 2nd wave is giving a blow to the markets

Investment update in September 2020

With countries all over Europe taking measures to slow down the second wave markets are not responding well. While the drop is nowhere near the first wave right now, we can clearly see the first drop since the first wave passed. There is not much to do about it in the short run except to wait it out.

On peer to peer investments Crowdestor has opened a secondary market, that hopefully will speed up my exit. More about Crowdestor bellow.

Also Belgium has imposed another lockdown. Lots of sports I did are now no longer allowed. That includes swimming, fitness, spinning and tennis. On top of that bars, restaurants and all non-essential shops are closed. Not to mention cultural venues, fun parks and zoos also should remain closed. What hasn’t happened yet is a lockdown where we are limited in our movement. Belgium has the 2nd highest number of intensive care beds per head of the population in Europe and even our hospitals are getting overrun. I am just wondering how other countries do this without going into lockdown. One thing I am worried about is all the debt we are taking up. One day we will need to pay those back with taxes.

I can still mountainbike and run fortunately., but its not easy to fill the time. You can see people hamster again in the supermarkets, something that I will not be doing. I need fresh food and can’t survive a month on canned food. Hamstering is an automatic reaction people have when they see empty shelves. Then they automatically want to buy more. To be honest if I lived in a house with enough storage space I would have already had some supply of long lasting food, but on an apartment its not worth it for me to use up space to store food.

Alright enough stuff about my life lets go and check how much my portfolio dropped or increased.

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My Portfolio

My Portfolio has dropped to 67009 EUR (-1260) even though I invested an additional 1000 EUR, so it just shows how big the drop was this month.

Lets look into more detail for each of these investment types shall we.

ETFs

The stock market continues to drop giving me a total loss of -2227 EUR since I started with the bellow stocks (January this year).

Inception DateTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)31/01/202036483-983-2120
IShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (CEMU)28/02/20202346-42-107
Total ETF Portfolio30/09/201938829-1025-2227

At this point I am really happy I limited my portfolio to just two ETFs, it makes it so much easier to track! And I keep finding it very easy to invest with DEGIRO, I am really happy I chose DEGIRO as broker!

SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)

My World ETF has made a drop this month unfortunately putting me at a loss of -5.49% since inception.

SPDR MSCI WORLD UCITSTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
31/01/202025160.4100
28/02/202023674-3852-3852
03/31/202022851-3362-7214
30/04/2020290343627-3587
31/05/202029590556-3031
30/06/202031411-95-3126
31/07/202033825816-2310
31/08/2020355741749-561
30/09/202036924-576-1137
31/10/202036483-983-2120

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF

With a 42 EUR win this month this ETF actually went up slightly

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETFTotal PortfolioMonthly ProfitTotal P&L% gain/loss
31/01/2020244800
29/02/20202249-205-205
31/03/20201918.38-331-536
31/04/20202099182-354
31/05/20202064-36-390
30/06/20202211147-243
31/07/20202318113-130
31/08/2020238265-65-2.69%
30/09/20202346-42-107-4.17%
31/10/2020238443-64-2.64%

Peer to Peer

I am left with only 5 peer to peer investments: 2 active peer to peer investments (Crowdestor and TFGCrowd), 1 with 100% of the funds in recovery (Mintos) and 2 where I am trying to recover some funds trough legal action.

I only show withdrawals here. So far I withdrew about 55% (+6%) of the funds I had invested in peer to peer.

PortfolioStartTotal at 29/02/2019Left inpeer to peerExpected end dateMoney left to withdraw
Crowdestor30/09/20192974180925/03/202260.83%
Grupeer30/09/201989908990Defaulted. In Legal procedure100.00%
Iuvo Group31/12/2019224004/20200.00%
Kuetzal30/09/201910051005Defaulted. In Legal procedure100.00%
Mintos30/09/2019998285501/06/20218.57%
NeoFinance30/09/20191273004/20200.00%
PeerBerry30/09/20192548005/09/20220.00%
TFGCrowd30/09/201914348817/09/20206.14%
Total30/09/2019284301274705/09/202244.84%

CrowdEstor

  • Crowestor has more and more delays this month. I normally had 3 projects that had to pay principal this month and none of them came trough.
  • The good news for me is that a secondary market was introduced. I put my projects on the market at 5-10% discount and was lucky enough to sell a little over 30% of my investments so far. I will keep trying to sell more, but projects that are 90 days late are hard to sell of course.

Grupeer

No progress at all from Grupeers side this month. Grupeer created a recovery firm but it seems after one month the bank account of this respectable recovery firm is not yet approved.

My main method to recover funds is legal action. I can say that its moving but very slowly. There is updates but I am not allowed to post them unfortunately.

Kuetzal

I am in a legal procedure with Kuetzal and cannot comment on any non-public information, I wanted to share more this month but I still can’t. I am currently counting on it that I can recover at least 50%.

Mintos

Mintos now allows you to see where they money in recovery is stuck. To my surprise about 200 EUR was also stuck in Monego. The rest is stuck in Capital Service. No progress here unfortunately. To be honest I am strongly considering to write off this investment. While I think I can recover the 200 EUR in Monego, I am not sure at all about Capital Service.

TFGCrowd

I still have 88 EUR in TFGCrowd because of a failed project. Normally the buy back should kick in this month and I should be getting the money back.

Startups

I still have now 3200 EUR in startups invested, I have every intention to withdraw this whenever possible.

Retirement funds

I decided not to update my retirement funds all the time since for most of the funds I get an update just once a year, so I will update it also just once a year. This is from end of 2019. I will update it again in December 2020.

November 2019Current Value
KBC Pension funds7999
First job Pension plan1467
Second job Pension plan592
Third job Pension plan12084

Wins / losses this month

  • My ETF Portfolio made a small 1000 EUR loss.
  • Slowly but certainly I am moving out of peer to peer
  • All the triathlons I wanted to participate in got canceled 😦 I need to move this goal to next year.

What is next?

  • My secret project is still ongoing

I will also post a savings rate update soon! Subscribe and make sure you don’t miss any of my monthly portfolio updates!

Financial Independence · investing

September 2020 Portfolio update: volatile markets during American elections

Investment update in September 2020

I saw the stock markets go up and down like a rollercoaster this month. I heard the American elections are the reason of the volatile markets. Unfortunately it means for the first time since the covid-recovery started I saw a drop again in my stocks. My portfolio still grew slightly but that is more caused by additional investments rather then a growing stock market. At least I was able to buy the extra stocks on one of the low points during the month.

On peer to peer investments Im still trying to recover cash from Mintos, Kuetzal and Grupeer. For CrowdEstor its more the withdrawal from principal that takes time, but more about that bellow.

All triathlons I was inscribed in got canceled. For most I got all the money back, and for one partly. That’s really unfortunate but it will not stop me from trying to inscribe in new sport events. The next event I have my eye on is a 10 miles run at the Belgian coast in November. I have the choice between 8 and 16km and I think I will go for the 16 even though I have not ran more then 8km these last months, I still have some time to train.

I have also completed kite lessons this summer, and found a great bargain on a second hand kit so I can practice by myself. I will post more exact numbers on that during my monthly saving rate update.

Alright enough stuff about my life lets go and check how much my portfolio dropped or increased.

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My Portfolio

My Portfolio has risen slightly to 68269 EUR (+831) this is mainly due to additional investments, as you will be able to see bellow the stock market has gone down slightly this month.

So this months rise was only because of a 1300 EUR extra investment. I’m not able to invest additionally every month, I invest about every 2-3 months, as soon as I can invest over 1000 EUR basically, so hopefully it will rise “by itself” next month!

Lets look into more detail for each of these investment types shall we.

ETFs

It seems the stock market got a drop last month for the first time in months, causing a small loss this month and a total loss this year of 1244 EUR.

Inception DateTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)31/01/202036924-576-1137
IShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (CEMU)28/02/20202346-42-107
Total ETF Portfolio30/09/201939270-618-1244

At this point I am really happy I limited my portfolio to just two ETFs, it makes it so much easier to track! And I keep finding it very easy to invest with DEGIRO, I am really happy I chose DEGIRO as broker!

SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)

My World ETF has made a drop this month unfortunately putting me at a loss of -3% since inception.

SPDR MSCI WORLD UCITSTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L% P&L
31/01/202025160.4100
28/02/202023674-3852-3852
03/31/202022851-3362-7214
30/04/2020290343627-3587
31/05/202029590556-3031
30/06/202031411-95-3126
31/07/202033825816-2310
31/08/2020355741749-561-1.55%
30/09/202036924-576-1137-2.76%

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF

With a -42 EUR loss this month the loss was slightly lower for this ETF.

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETFTotal PortfolioMonthly ProfitTotal P&L% gain/loss
31/01/2020244800
29/02/20202249-205-205
31/03/20201918.38-331-536
31/04/20202099182-354
31/05/20202064-36-390
30/06/20202211147-243
31/07/20202318113-130
31/08/2020238265-65-2.69%
30/09/20202346-42-107-4.17%

Peer to Peer

I am left with only 5 peer to peer investments: 2 active peer to peer investments (Crowdestor and TFGCrowd), 1 with 100% of the funds in recovery (Mintos) and 2 where I am trying to recover some funds trough legal action.

I only show withdrawals here. So far I withdrew about 49% of the funds I had invested in peer to peer.

PortfolioStartTotal at 29/02/2019Left inpeer to peerExpected end dateMoney left to withdraw
Crowdestor30/09/20192974297407/02/2022100.00%
Grupeer30/09/201989908990Defaulted. In Legal procedure100.00%
Kuetzal30/09/201910051005Defaulted. In Legal procedure100.00%
Mintos30/09/2019998285501/06/20218.57%
TFGCrowd30/09/201914348817/09/20206.14%
Total30/09/2019284301391205/09/202248.93%

CrowdEstor

  • Some changes at the CrowdEstor site this month! You can now see how many projects are delayed. I knew I had about 20% of my projects delayed, but I didnt knew it was close to 37% of the invested cash. That now becomes clearly visible.
  • The good news is the delay is all smaller then 30 days, so hopefully its normal and they will catch up for the most part.

More good news it that in October normally 400 EUR of principal should be repaid. I’m very curious to see if that money will land on my account this month. We are talking about the projects: Indoor beach volleyball center (II), Family house developer and Construction company (public procurement)

  • Another new item is a secondary market. Crowdestor added a secondary market. I right away listed everything that expires in 2022 and everything thats late with a payment for sale at a small discount.
  • However I don’t have much hope this will work. When I look at the secondary market huge discounts are being given, up to 72.45%! So I really doubt anyone will go for the 2-5% discount offers I have on the market, even if they are not late.

Grupeer

No progress at all from Grupeers side this month. Grupeer created a recovery firm but it seems after one month the bank account of this respectable recovery firm is not yet approved.

Meanwhile my ready to withdraw amount has grown to over 5000 EUR, but of course I can’t withdraw anything.

My main method to recover funds is legal action. I can say that its moving but very slowly, it will take at least a year before anything is recovered, and probably much longer to recover a bigger amount of funds.

Kuetzal

I am in a legal procedure with Kuetzal and cannot comment on any non-public information, I wanted to share more this month but I still can’t. Perhaps in september.

Mintos

Mintos now allows you to see where they money in recovery is stuck. To my surprise about 200 EUR was also stuck in Monego. The rest is stuck in Capital Service. No progress here unfortunatly.

TFGCrowd

I was expecting to withdraw 200 EUR here this month, however this has lowered to 112 EUR. The last 88 EUR has not been paid yet, but falls under a buy-back guarantee, so I expect to have it back in two months. The money I was able to withdraw in September was transferred to DEGIRO.

Startups

I still have now 3200 EUR in startups invested, I have every intention to withdraw this whenever possible.

Retirement funds

I decided not to update my retirement funds all the time since for most of the funds I get an update just once a year, so I will update it also just once a year. This is from end of 2019. I will update it again in December 2020.

November 2019Current Value
KBC Pension funds7999
First job Pension plan1467
Second job Pension plan592
Third job Pension plan12084

Wins / losses this month

  • My ETF Portfolio made a small 500 EUR loss.
  • Slowly but certainly I am moving out of peer to peer
  • All the triathlons I wanted to participate in got canceled 😦 I need to move this goal to next year.

What is next?

  • I will postpone my triathlon to next year. I will train for a 1/4th by then!
  • My secret project is still ongoing. I will probably not be able to share any info about this until January 2021 😦 It sucks because its so exciting but its classified 😦

I will also post a savings rate update soon! Subscribe and make sure you don’t miss any of my monthly portfolio updates!

Financial Independence · investing

Investment update in July 2020

Investment update in July 2020

The stockmarket is rising slowly. Altough its summer, summer has never been a really bull month for the stock market, and with a second wave approaching Europe I am surprised that it is not dropping further. Perhaps its because of the 1600 Biljard EUR the EU will pump in the economy.

On peer to peer investments progress at Grupeers side is really slow right now. When I read the blog of Grupeer I have the impression progress will happen at any time now, but its not happening. I feel like they are holding a carrot in front of me. More about that bellow.

In my personal life sports have taken up such a big part of my life right now, since sport is the safest activity. I subscribed for a Triathlon altough its uncertain right now if it will go on. I will do 1/8 so that means 500m swimming, 25km cycling and 5km running. If it goes well I might try 1/4th of a triathlon. But it does mean I need to train a lot, so a lot of my time is going there.

Additionally (and this is why there has not been so many blogs in July), I am working on a secret project on the side that I do not want to talk about yet but will at some point.

Alright enough stuff about my life lets go and check how much my portfolio dropped or increased.

Image result for I am not a financial advisor

My Portfolio

My Portfolio has risen slightly to 65925 EUR (+1427) mainly because of additional investments and a small rise in the market. This is now the third month in a row that my investments are going up again. Slowly but certain a recovery is on its way.

On the bellow graphic there is three movements that are very clear this month:

  • About 1200 EUR transfered from my peer to peer investments to ETFs
  • Invested about 1000 EUR extra in ETFs on top of that
  • The stock market is rising very slowly

Lets look into more detail for each of these investment types shall we.

ETFs

It seems the stock market is rising slowly but steadily and gave me a nice profit of 929 EUR this month lowering my loss on my ETFs from -3369 last month to -2440 EUR this month. Keep it up!

Inception DateTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)31/01/202033825816-2310
IShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (CEMU)28/02/20202318113-130
Total ETF Portfolio30/09/201936143929-2440

At this point I am really happy I limited my portfolio to just two ETFs, it makes it so much easier to track! And I keep finding it very easy to invest with DEGIRO, I am really happy I chose DEGIRO as broker!

SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)

My World ETF has made the biggest profit this month, lets hope they can keep it up for another 2-3 months so I break even!

SPDR MSCI WORLD UCITSTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L% gain this month
31/01/202025160.4100
28/02/202023674-3852-3852
03/31/202022851-3362-7214
30/04/2020290343627-3587
31/05/202029590556-3031
30/06/202031411-95-3126
31/07/202033825816-2310

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF

With a 113 EUR profit it was a pretty good month for this ETF

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETFTotal PortfolioMonthly ProfitTotal P&L% gain this month%gain yearly
31/01/2020244800
29/02/20202249-205-205
31/03/20201918.38-331-536
31/04/20202099182-354
31/05/20202064-36-390
30/06/20202211147-243
31/07/20202318113-130

Peer to Peer

PortfolioStartTotal at 29/02/2019Left inpeer to peerExpected end date
Crowdestor30/09/20192974297907/02/2022
Grupeer30/09/201989908990Defaulted. In Legal procedure
Kuetzal30/09/201910051005Defaulted. In Legal procedure
Mintos30/09/2019998286501/06/2021
PeerBerry30/09/20192548005/09/2022
TFGCrowd30/09/2019143421017/09/2020
Total30/09/2019269331404905/09/2022

I will no longer keep track of the income I am getting into peer to peer. Instead I am showing the withdrawals here. I sold on the secondary market where possible, but without giving huge discounts. In total I managed to withdraw an additional 2% this month, putting me on 49% withdrawn up to date, which is not bad considering these are long term investments, however when I look at what is left, most will be stuck in Legal battles..

CrowdEstor

  • I withdrew 100 EUR from Crowdestor this month, but this was only interest. For principal I will need to wait until October. Im not really worried that this will go ok, so far payments have restarted normally.

Grupeer

Grupeer has officially defaulted with more then 60 days of delay on my withdrawals. I wrote off Grupeer but there is two points of light at the end of the tunnel that give me hope of recovering some part of my investment.

Legal action

I have grouped together with other investors to prepare a law suit for Grupeer. The main goal of the legal action will still be to ask Grupeer to repay the investments as planned and not to resort to bankrupting Grupeer.

Unfortunately everything is confidential, so I am not at liberty to discuss anything not public here. All I can say its being prepared right now, and it feels good to have legal representation.

Plan from Grupeer

Unfortunately the plan from Grupeer to start paying back the investments is currently more looking like a carrot they are holding in front of us. Any real money has not come out way, even though 75% would be in a recoverable state based on the bellow analysis.

 [visualizer id=”3020″] 

That means that 75% is hopefully in a recoverable state. 3% is probably lost and 22% is unclear but at high risk.

As long as Grupeers bank accounts remain frozen its only virtual money.

Kuetzal

I am in a legal procedure with Kuetzal and cannot comment on any non-public information, I wanted to share more this month but I still can’t. Perhaps in setpember.

Mintos

The last amount in Mintos is fully stuck in pending payments. Right now there is not much I can do to speed up the process except wait for these payments to get paid.

PeerBerry

Rita from Peerberry has offered to rebuy my loans as the Loan Originators have no problems right now, and I have happily accepted. That means I can close my investments in Peerberry and will no longer mention them.

TFGCrowd

Right now I am waiting for the last 200 EUR of principal to be finished in TFGCrowd. After that I will be fully out of this investment. This will happen in September.

Startups

I still have 3500 EUR in startups, but there is some news, one of my startups (WeGroup) made an offer to buy back the shares with quite a bit of interest. The counsel has come together (online) and voted to accept the offer. I had 300 EUR of principal invested there and it will be bought out at 164% the value I bought it for, so I expect a nice buy back soon. Once this has been completed I will re-invest this money into ETFs or a new startup.

Retirement funds

I decided not to update my retirement funds all the time since for most of the funds I get an update just once a year, so I will update it also just once a year. This is from end of 2019. I will update it again in December 2020.

November 2019Current Value
KBC Pension funds7999
First job Pension plan1467
Second job Pension plan592
Third job Pension plan12084

Wins / losses this month

  • My ETF Portfolio made 900 EUR profit
  • Slowly but certainly I am moving out of peer to peer

What is next?

  • I will be doing a 1/8 Triathlon in two weeks so right now Im training a lot to make that!
  • If things go well I plan to do another Triathlon in September (at least if they are not canceled because of Corona).
  • I am working on a secret project that I cannot give any info about right now, however I hope I can soon!

I will also post a savings rate update soon! Subscribe and make sure you don’t miss any of my monthly portfolio updates!

Financial Independence · investing

June 2020 Portfolio update: Grupeer presents their plan to repay investors

Investment update in June 2020

The stockmarket didn’t really seem to know what it wanted this month, we had a few drops and a few rises, but in general nothing to indicate that corona is behind us or that we are tumbling into a deeper crisis. I guess the stockmarket really hasn’t made up its mind. Its not unexpected given the record breaking infections that we see across the world and especially in US that is dominating the stock market.

Last month I decided to write off all investments I made in Grupeer as they were officially 60 days late on repayment. As a reminder I had a big investment there of 9000 EUR, so it was a very difficult decision to make. Grupeer remains the center of attention this month and since last month, together with other investors, I have employed a lawyer to assist us to retrieve our investments. On the other side Grupeer has just presented their initial version of their plan to repay the investors. But more about that bellow.

In my personal life since I had a lot more time to spare by no longer travelling and working from home I have taken up various sports. I managed to sport 42 hours in June! Partly due to holidays of course that gave me more time for this, but also because I have been looking for new sports. Right now I am doing mainly mountainbike, tennis, kite and gym. So yes I do spend much more $ on sports these days, but I really put the goal for myself to get into shape and try to enjoy the summer. And at the end of the month its really nice to see the results in Strave, which is my n1 App to track all my activities:

Image result for I am not a financial advisor

My Portfolio

My Portfolio has risen slightly to 64498 EUR mainly because of additional investments. Its good to see that after a few months of a dropping portfolio I am making a recovery.

On the bellow graphic there is three movements that are very clear this month:

  • Continue the sell off of my peer to peer portfolio, so transfered a little over 600 EUR from peer to peer to ETFs
  • Invested about 1300 EUR extra in ETFs on top of the 600 EUR that came from peer to peer
  • The stock market remained stable this month

Lets look into more detail for each of these investment types shall we.

ETFs

It seems the stock market is stabilizing and has no idea if it should move up or down. I made a modest profit this month of 52 EUR, mainly thanks to my IShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (CEMU) that performed really well

Inception DateTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)31/01/202031411-95-3126
IShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (CEMU)28/02/20202211147-243
Total ETF Portfolio30/09/20193362252-3369

At this point I am really happy I limited my portfolio to just two ETFs, it makes it so much easier to track! And I keep finding it very easy to invest with DEGIRO, I am really happy I chose DEGIRO as broker!

SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)

My World ETF has made a small loss this month but nothing to worry about

SPDR MSCI WORLD UCITSTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
31/01/202025160.4100
28/02/202023674-3852-3852
03/31/202022851-3362-7214
30/04/2020290343627-3587
31/05/202029590556-3031
30/06/202031411-95-3126

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF

With a 137 EUR profit it was a second best month for this ETF this year.

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETFTotal PortfolioMonthly ProfitTotal P&L
31/01/2020244800
29/02/20202249-205-205
31/03/20201918.38-331-536
31/04/20202099182-354
31/05/20202064-36-390
30/06/20202211147-243

Peer to Peer

I will no longer keep track of the income I am getting into peer to peer. Instead I am showing the withdrawals here. I sold on the secondary market where possible, but without giving huge discounts. In total I managed to withdraw an additional 2% this month, putting me on 47% withdrawn up to date, which is not bad considering these are long term investments.

PortfolioStartTotal at 29/02/2019Left inpeer to peerExpected end dateMoney left to withdraw
Crowdestor30/09/20192974297907/02/2022100.17%
Grupeer30/09/201989908990In Legal procedure, awaiting Grupeers plan100.00%
Iuvo Group31/12/2019224004/20200.00%
Kuetzal30/09/201910051005Defaulted. In Legal procedure100.00%
Mintos30/09/2019998286501/06/20218.67%
NeoFinance30/09/20191273004/20200.00%
PeerBerry30/09/20192548109405/09/202242.94%
TFGCrowd30/09/2019143421017/09/202014.64%
Total30/09/2019284301514305/09/202253.26%

CrowdEstor

  • I was not able to withdraw anything from CrowdEstor this month, but I expect I can finally start next month as interests are coming in again. As you can see bellow I am expecting quite decent amounts to come in the coming month!

Grupeer

Grupeer has officially defaulted with more then 60 days of delay on my withdrawals. I wrote off Grupeer but there is two points of light at the end of the tunnel that give me hope of recovering some part of my investment.

Legal action

I have grouped together with other investors to prepare a law suit for Grupeer. The main goal of the legal action will still be to ask Grupeer to repay the investments as planned and not to resort to bankrupting Grupeer.

Unfortunately everything is confidential, so I am not at liberty to discuss anything not public here. All I can say its being prepared right now, and it feels good to have legal representation.

Plan from Grupeer

The other point of hope is the plan from Grupeer. Yesterday Grupeer posted they have analysed their portfolio and decided there is 5 Groups of investments / Loan originators.

Group 1: This includes money that was not yet invested mostly and can just be transfered back

Group 2: These are good Loan Originators that are willing to continue payment. They will announce in 2 days if payment will be resumed.

Group 3: These are Loan Originators that have financial problems but are planning to present a repayment schedule by the 20th of July

Group 4: These are Loan Originators that basically refuse or cannot pay anymore. Grupeer states they will prepare legal action against them

Group 5: These are Loan Originators that have not decided yet what to do. They might land in Group 3 or Group 4.

I mostly invested in loans on Grupeer and based on this its clear that it was mainly the B2B that have a lot of issues. The P2P are doing better. I have analysed my portfolio to find out how good / bad I was off and found the following results:

 [visualizer id=”3020″] 

That means that 75% is hopefully in a recoverable state. 3% is probably lost and 22% is unclear but at high risk. All in all my portfolio is not doing that bad, if Grupeer is telling the truth I can hopefully recover a large amount still. As you can see at the graph bellow my portfolio is also doing much better then the average portfolio.

Grupeer does point out it all depends of their bank accounts getting unfrozen, and its not clear yet if that will happen. If it happens then they will resume operations from the 3rd of July for Group 1 and Group 2. Exciting times!

Kuetzal

I am in a legal procedure with Kuetzal and cannot comment on any non-public information. There is also nothing new to add, I expect the next update to be somewhere in my blog from August.

Mintos

I have managed to withdraw about 93% of my cash from Mintos already. My last loans are for 95% in Capital Service, and this is suspended from the secondary market unfortunately. I managed that right now the pace of further withdrawals is going really really slow. Additionally most of my funds are currently stuck in pending payments. All I can do is wait and hope that Capital Service will recover and make faster payments soon.

PeerBerry

Withdrawals are going slow but steady and I managed to withdraw another 80 EUR this month. So far 58% is already withdrawn.

TFGCrowd

I managed to withdraw another 500 EUR of finished projects this month! Im amazed to see the recovery of TFGCrowd. I have one project remaining where I have 200 EUR of principal in, that finishes in September. So far I managed to withdraw 85% of my investments!

My final project is a real estate project in Cambridge. A really good area, so what could possibly go wrong?

Startups

I still have 3500 EUR in startups, right now there is nothing new to report.

Retirement funds

I decided not to update my retirement funds all the time since for most of the funds I get an update just once a year, so I will update it also just once a year. This is from end of 2019. I will update it again in December 2020.

November 2019Current Value
KBC Pension funds7999
First job Pension plan1467
Second job Pension plan592
Third job Pension plan12084

Wins / losses this month

  • My ETF Portfolio made 52 EUR profit
  • Some light at the tunnel for Grupeer, is there a chance I can recover some part of that investment?
  • I tried Kite Surf for the first time and loved it!
  • I also subscribed to a Gym membership, my new gym has something called an egym to help you progress easier on the level you are at

What is next?

  • I will be waiting full of tension to see if Grupeer actually starts repayment the 4th of July or not
  • I want to try to drink less alcohol, as a way to get more into shape. So I am going to try to say no to alcohol the coming month. This with the exception of birthday parties.

I will also post a savings rate update soon! Subscribe and make sure you don’t miss any of my monthly portfolio updates!

Financial Independence · investing

May 2020 Portfolio update: Grupeer has gone into default!

Investment update in May

First off I want to start with announcing that I added a new page on my blog keeping yearly statistics. Check them out here. I plan to update this page once a year around May.

With Europe slowly recovering from the Corona crisis as shops and restaurants start to open again all over Europe we can see that last months recovery in the stock market continues. It might be strange to see such a good recovery with so many companies going bankrupt, but we can’t forget governments worldwide are pumping money into the market like crazy. As a result its not really the stock market that goes up but rather the value of money that is going down. Stocks seem to be a safer haven then cash right now.

On the peer to peer market I have rather dramatic news. What I highly suspected would happen has happened. The peer to peer site Grupeer has now over a 60 day delay on payment and is therefore officially in default. Its very difficult to predict what amount of money I will be able to recover here. Its quite hard now to decide if I will already write off this investment while there is still several ways to recover. First is that Grupeer comes trough and continues payments. Grupeer has posted on their Website that they will present a plan in June. So there is a chance that Grupeer will come up with Payments themselves. The second path is by using legal council. Also this path I am exploring. Despite of recovery options, their defaulting leaves me no choice and I have decided to write off the investment. This means I no longer see it as an investment but as a place where I must try to recover money.

I am unable to travel for work but I have grown quite accustomed to working at home. Working from home really works for me. I know it only works because everyone else is also working from home. If I were to be working from home and others went to the office, being a manager, this would not work. I do hope that the company will remember how easy the transfer was, and how efficient we have worked.

I have found to have more time for sports, and have been cycling a lot. I posted last month that I had back issues and this made it hard to cycle. My back has improved a lot since April. I saw a good doctor and he prescribed me some medicine I have to take right before I cycle. This seems to help a lot and my back is doing much better. I feel confident in cycling long distances again!

I also started to run, but I have given up on that. After I ran 10km I found my knees were hurting a lot. I enjoy cycling much more so I am not going to continue running for now.

Image result for I am not a financial advisor

My Portfolio

My Portfolio has made a sharp drop to 62989 EUR caused by having to write off Grupeer as an investment, pretty much decimating my peer to peer portfolio.

On the bellow graphic there is three movements that are very clear this month:

  • Selling off my peer to peer portfolio
  • I wrote off 100% from my Grupeer investment
  • I lowered my investments in ETFs to balance my investment more with my income. I will be investing about 750 EUR / month from now. Once travelling is allowed again I will increase it again.
  • The recovery of the stock market that started last month keeps going!

Lets look into more detail for each of these investment types shall we.

Peer to Peer

I will no longer keep track of the income I am getting into peer to peer. Instead I am showing the withdrawals here. I sold on the secondary market where possible, but without giving huge discounts. In total I managed to withdraw an additional 3% this month, putting me on 45% withdrawn up to date, which is not bad considering these are long term investments.

PortfolioStartTotal at 29/02/2019Left inpeer to peerExpected end dateMoney left to withdraw
Crowdestor30/09/20192974297907/02/2022100.17%
Grupeer30/09/201989908990Defaulted. Preparing legal procedure100.00%
Iuvo Group31/12/2019224004/20200.00%
Kuetzal30/09/201910051005Defaulted. In Legal procedure100.00%
Mintos30/09/2019998286801/06/20218.70%
NeoFinance30/09/20191273004/20200.00%
PeerBerry30/09/20192548118405/09/202246.47%
TFGCrowd30/09/2019143457317/09/202039.96%
Total30/09/2019284301559905/09/202254.87%

CrowdEstor

  • Crowdestor has finally continued to give interest. The recovery period is ending and by the looks of it we are returning to normal. Many of my investments have announced that they would not be using the recovery period but would be paying interest as normal. I have a few investments ending near the end of the year, so from that time I will be able to withdraw. So far this is one of my biggest investments. I should be out fully by 07/02/2022.

Grupeer

Grupeer has officially defaulted with more then 60 days of delay on my withdrawals. As a consequence I need to write off Grupeer as a credible investment and I now see it more as a place where I must try to recover money.

Grupeer has made a nice poster on their website stating their intentions to pay back the investors. In June they will present a plan on how they will do this. I really cannot wait to read all about their new plan. At the same time I am gathering with a group of other investors to get legal representation.

Meanwhile the site still works, and it seems that the site was re-winded to 31st of March. My withdrawals were not approved and the withdrawal button is disabled. I have gotten no interest for the months of April and May so far.

Kuetzal

I am in a legal procedure. While I cannot comment on specifics I can show this public announcement, since its publicly available:

Official notification from Harju County Court Tallinn dd 29.05.2020 Harju County Court Tallinn Courthouse publishes a notice on the basis of subsection 30 (2) of the Bankruptcy Act (PankrS).
By court order No. 29-20.2020 in civil case no. 2-20-2366, the debtor, Kuetzal OÜ (registry code: 14519131, address: Harju county, Tallinn, Kesklinna district, Narva mnt 7b, 10117), in order to prevent the termination of the bankruptcy proceedings and to cover the costs of the bankruptcy proceedings, the amount to be paid as a deposit in the account provided for this purpose shall be 3000 euros and the payment term shall be 12.06.2020.

Mintos

I have managed to withdraw about 92% of my cash from Mintos already. My last loans are for 95% in Capital Service, and this is suspended from the secondary market unfortunately.

Since Capital Service stopped paying, that also means that over half of my money is right now in pending payment status:

Right now I still have faith that Capital Service will recover once the situation in Poland improves. Mintos posted a short anouncement on their blog about this:

PeerBerry

Withdrawals are going slow but steady..

PeerBerry has called me personally to ask me what I would improve. I have mentioned I would like to see a secondary market. They have noted this down, and might add this in the future. Until then I just need to be patient.

TFGCrowd

I managed to withdraw 4/6 projects that finished this month. Another two actually were unable to pay. For those two projects I will need to wait for an additional 60 days for the rebuy has kicked in.

So far I managed to withdraw 861 EUR of the original 1434 I put in, and I should be able to withdraw 200 EUR in June, another 200 EUR in July and another 200 EUR in September plus interest. Its a high risk investment but one where I might actually make a profit on.

How are other peer to peer platforms doing?

I never mention this but there is other peer who also seem to be in trouble. To be clear I am not invested in these platforms right now:

  • Monethera has been declared insolvent so it’s not looking good for investors. It seems Monethera also had very close ties with Envestio and Kuetzal
  • Envestio: investors have united to sue Envestio since the website went down in January 2020
  • Wisefund: whoever has money inthere right now has their money at extreme risk. There is a recent secondary market but discounts offered are so high that its almost impossible to exit!
  • Bondera: bondera, a big and one of the oldest platforms around, is doing partial withdrawals now so people withdrawing will need more time to get their money out
  • Fastinvest: Fast invest was commonly suspected to be a scam, but still many people put in money. Now fastinvest is looking more like Fast Invest, but Slow withdraw. Withdraws are reported to have a month and a half delay! A telegram group has been created for those that are trying to get their money out.
  • Agrikaab: a crazy platform where you could invest in camels. This was even to crazy for me. Agrikaab has gone bankrupt. Good luck to some bloggers to get back their funds from Somalia, one of the poorest and most risky countries in the world to invest in!

ETFs

It seems the stock market is stabilizing, and my portfolio grew with a modest 520 EUR! Its very hard to predict what will happen the coming months. My general thought right now is that when the governments are floating the markets with money the price of money will go down and the price of stocks will go up. But this is quite hard to predict. Interesting times remain!


Inception DateTotal PortfolioMonthly P&LTotal P&L
SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)31/01/202029590556-3031
IShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (CEMU)28/02/20202064-36-390
Total ETF Portfolio30/09/201931654520-3421

At this point I am really happy I limited my portfolio to just two ETFs, it makes it so much easier to track! And I keep finding it very easy to invest with DEGIRO, I am really happy I chose DEGIRO as broker!

SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF (SWRD)

My World ETF has performed great this month, and I am 100% behind my choice of focusing mainly on this ETF.

As you can see there was a small increase of 556 EUR on my ETFs.

31/01/202025160.4100
28/02/202023674-3852-3852
03/31/202022851-3362-7214
30/04/2020290343627-3587
31/05/202029590556-3031

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF

With a 36 EUR loss this month I would say this ETF has remains quite stable.

ISHARES CORE MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETFTotal PortfolioMonthly ProfitTotal P&L
31/01/2020244800
29/02/20202249-205-205
31/03/20201918.38-331-536
31/04/20202099182-354
31/05/20202064-36-390

Startups

One of my startups where I have 100 EUR in has made an announcement that he has lost its existing customer and its quite hard to gain new customers. It might be the first victim in my startup portfolio of the lockdown.

Retirement funds

I decided not to update my retirement funds all the time since for most of the funds I get an update just once a year, so I will update it also just once a year. This is from end of 2019. I will update it again in December 2020.

November 2019Current Value
KBC Pension funds7999
First job Pension plan1467
Second job Pension plan592
Third job Pension plan12084

Wins / losses this month

  • My ETF Portfolio made 520 EUR profit
  • My peer to peer portfolio was decimated after Grupeer defaulted. Right now I have 5604 EUR active investments left in peer to peer.

What is next?

  • I feel like I need a second sport in addition to mountain-biking. I also sail in summer but that is more sporadic. I might try kite-surfing in June.

I will also post a savings rate update soon! Subscribe and make sure you don’t miss any of my monthly portfolio updates!